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Although the 2023-24 school year saw historic gains for early childhood education, the national landscape for preschool remains uncertain. The聽 (NIEER) has released its聽, which for the past 22 years has provided a comprehensive, vital portrait of American preschool education. Its analysis shows that state-funded preschool programs nationwide have not only recovered from COVID-19鈥檚 devastating impacts, but reached a record high in both enrollment and spending during the 2023-24 school year.聽

But those increases are skewed by a small number of states making progress; others are not doing as well. Quality remains uneven from state to state and even within states, quality and availability often are a matter of ZIP code. While some states have increased funding, enrolled more students, and worked to meet national quality benchmarks, others have lagged, offering programs that meet fewer national quality benchmarks 鈥� or none at all.

Shifting sands at the federal level have left much of the sector uncertain about what the future might hold and how the Trump administration鈥檚  to the Department of Education, the Department of Health and Human Services and other federal agencies might affect  and other early childhood programs. NIEER reports that eliminating Head Start funding would mean a decline of more than 10 percentage points in access to public preschool in several states and more than 20 percentage points in some. 

The 2024 State of Preschool Yearbook underscores how essential it is for states to proactively prioritize and expand investments in early childhood, and a special section highlights four states 鈥� Alabama, Michigan, New Mexico and Oklahoma 鈥� a bipartisan mix that NIEER identifies as pre-K leaders and strong examples others can emulate.  

Though this might seem like a clarion call for states to step up, W. Steven Barnett, NIEER鈥檚 senior director and founder, says it is not that simple. For many states, Head Start is the  foundation their preschool programs are built on and it is on the . 

鈥淔ederal Head Start money is about the same magnitude of all state pre-K spending,鈥� he says. 鈥淭he notion that states could replace that funding, especially overnight, is not realistic. If you had said, 鈥極ver 10 years, this is going to go away,鈥� maybe. But overnight? It would be a disaster.鈥� In some states, like Mississippi and West Virginia, 23% of 3- and 4-year-olds are in a Head Start program. 

鈥淲e don鈥檛 know if they鈥檙e going to zero out the program, but if they do, the money to serve a half a million 3- and 4-year-olds disappears. In some states that鈥檚 almost a quarter of the kids who benefit the most,鈥� Barnett adds. 鈥淭hey say, 鈥榊ou need to pull yourselves up by your bootstraps,鈥� but also, 鈥業鈥檓 taking your boots away.鈥� Where are these states going to find the money to replace that?鈥�

Setting New Records

The 2023-24 school year saw new records set for funding and enrollment for state-funded preschool programs. Across the country, enrollment increased by more than 111,000 children nationally to reach 1,750,995 children, an increase of 7% from the previous year. This marked an all-time enrollment high with 37% of 4-year-olds and 8% of 3-year-olds enrolled. Despite the increase for 3-year-olds though, most state pre-K programs continued to serve primarily (or only) 4-year-olds.

States spent more than $13.6 billion on preschool in the 2023-24 school year, which included $257 million in federal COVID-19 relief funds, an increase of nearly $2 billion over the prior year. State spending on preschool increased in all but five states that have a public preschool program. California, New Jersey, New York and Texas led funding, spending $1 billion or more on preschool. Together, these four states accounted for 51% of all state spending on preschool. 

State spending per child increased in all but eight states with preschool programs. Including state, local and federal sources, spending per child was $8,856, an inflation-adjusted increase of $635 per child that reflects a strong growth in state funding as federal recovery dollars decreased. 

Room for Improvement

Over the past two decades, NIEER鈥檚 research has consistently found that higher quality preschool programs yield increased and enduring benefits for children鈥檚 learning and development. Based on classroom data, monitoring, surveys and assessments, the institute鈥檚 research has developed 10 benchmarks that measure the quality standards for preschool programs that support that growth. 

The 2024 Yearbook finds that 2 1/2 times more children in the U.S. attended lower-quality programs that met five or fewer of those benchmarks than children attending programs that met nine or 10, underscoring again the tremendous variation across states and zip codes. 

According to the report, many states aren鈥檛 hitting the quality standards that would set their programs up to provide  that give pre-K its greatest value for children and taxpayers. Five states, for example, have no state-funded program in 2023-24; eight states spent less than half the cost needed to meet minimum quality standards. Others just aren鈥檛 serving enough young learners.

鈥淚f you do pre-K right, you put in place a foundation for future success in school and in life,鈥� Barnett says. 鈥淲e have strong causal evidence linking quality pre-K to educational attainment, whether you graduate from high school or go to college, and strong causal evidence that links educational attainment to other positive life outcomes. Not just how much money you make, but good pre-K sets in motion this chain where people will live longer, healthier lives. Taxpayers make out great when that happens.鈥� 

Barnett adds: 鈥淚f that [foundation] is not there, then we鈥檙e focusing much more on remediation, special education, dropout prevention, incarceration 鈥� all these negative expenditures rather than positive outcomes. If you鈥檙e meeting five or less benchmarks and you鈥檙e not spending enough money to pay for a quality program, it may look like you鈥檙e saving money, but you鈥檙e throwing it away.鈥�

Alabama, Hawaii, Michigan, Mississippi and Rhode Island are the only states nationwide to meet all 10 benchmarks. Other states come close, meeting nine benchmarks. On the other hand, 21 state-funded preschool programs meet five or fewer of these quality standards. 

Information Gathering

Over the years, the NIEER State of Preschool Yearbook has become a sort of Bible for legislators, school officials, researchers and other early learning stakeholders to understand what鈥檚 going on in the sector. Barnett points out that people might hear 鈥渟urvey鈥� and think the reporting is based on sampling. In reality, he says, it鈥檚 more like a census because it consists of 300 questions sent to state school administrators. By the time all the appendices are organized, the final report is inches thick. 

鈥淭here have been changes in state governments where no one with institutional memory was left,鈥� Barnett says. 鈥淭hey used the Yearbook to figure out what their own policies were 鈥� which is fair because they鈥檙e the ones that filled it out in the first place. The Yearbooks have been a long-standing partnership with administrators. It鈥檚 as much their product as it is ours. We write up the narrative up front, but all the state page narratives are constructed with state administrators to make sure we represent their programs correctly.鈥� 

Going Forward

Preschool spending has reached an all-time high, but fiscal uncertainty could reverse the trend, the report warns. Several top economists  weak growth in the U.S. economy, or even a recession, which, combined with federal cutbacks could create powerful headwinds for state pre-K programs. It wouldn鈥檛 be the first time: According to the report, the 2008 recession led to lower pre-K funding for more than half a decade. Barnett says it鈥檚 a critical time for states to learn from each other and take proactive steps with policies and programs that prepare their youngest learners for their best possible future. 

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